Nightelf player from China.
Against | Matches won | Match win rate | Maps won | Map win rate | Matchup rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All races | 523 of 924 | 57% | 2019 of 3781 | 53% | 2598 |
| Human | 161 of 283 | 57% | 698 of 1310 | 53% | 2596 -2 |
| Night Elf | 112 of 186 | 60% | 335 of 596 | 56% | 2580 -18 |
| Orc | 143 of 246 | 58% | 554 of 1029 | 54% | 2603 +5 |
| Undead | 103 of 204 | 50% | 423 of 835 | 51% | 2605 +7 |
| Random | 0 of 0 | - | 0 of 0 | - | - |
The matchup rating is the player's Elo adjusted for how they do against each race. For every opponent race, we compare the player's map results against what their overall Elo and their opponents' Elo would predict, and turn the difference into a modifier. Modifiers are relative: they average out to zero across a player's maps, so they show which races a player does better or worse against, not how strong they are overall. Only part of that modifier is applied, scaled by a weight that is fitted so the ratings predict recent results as well as possible, which keeps small samples from swinging the rating. The modifier depends only on the opponent's race, so players who switch races get one modifier per opponent race. Matchup ratings are updated daily.
The model was designed by Back2Warcraft. Hover a modifier to see how many maps it is based on.