Multiple race player from China.
Against | Matches won | Match win rate | Maps won | Map win rate | Matchup rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All races | 364 of 583 | 62% | 896 of 1520 | 59% | 2280 |
| Human | 73 of 114 | 64% | 186 of 311 | 60% | 2274 -6 |
| Night Elf | 112 of 192 | 58% | 288 of 506 | 57% | 2285 +5 |
| Orc | 94 of 145 | 65% | 223 of 362 | 62% | 2290 +10 |
| Undead | 80 of 125 | 64% | 190 of 325 | 58% | 2267 -13 |
| Random | 4 of 6 | 67% | 8 of 15 | 53% | - |
The matchup rating is the player's Elo adjusted for how they do against each race. For every opponent race, we compare the player's map results against what their overall Elo and their opponents' Elo would predict, and turn the difference into a modifier. Modifiers are relative: they average out to zero across a player's maps, so they show which races a player does better or worse against, not how strong they are overall. Only part of that modifier is applied, scaled by a weight that is fitted so the ratings predict recent results as well as possible, which keeps small samples from swinging the rating. The modifier depends only on the opponent's race, so players who switch races get one modifier per opponent race. Matchup ratings are updated daily.
The model was designed by Back2Warcraft. Hover a modifier to see how many maps it is based on.