ColorFul
Nightelf player from China.
- Rank
- 16
- Elo
- 2475
- Events played
- 784
- First places
- 44
- Top-three finishes
- 13517%
Against | Matches won | Match win rate | Maps won | Map win rate | Matchup rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All races | 912 of 1804 | 51% | 2874 of 5735 | 50% | 2475 |
| Human | 260 of 539 | 48% | 929 of 1882 | 49% | 2478 +3 |
| Night Elf | 201 of 391 | 51% | 572 of 1128 | 51% | 2456 -19 |
| Orc | 269 of 498 | 54% | 850 of 1602 | 53% | 2485 +10 |
| Undead | 171 of 363 | 47% | 498 of 1090 | 46% | 2469 -6 |
| Random | 2 of 4 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 50% | - |
The matchup rating is the player's Elo adjusted for how they do against each race. For every opponent race, we compare the player's map results against what their overall Elo and their opponents' Elo would predict, and turn the difference into a modifier. Modifiers are relative: they average out to zero across a player's maps, so they show which races a player does better or worse against, not how strong they are overall. Only part of that modifier is applied, scaled by a weight that is fitted so the ratings predict recent results as well as possible, which keeps small samples from swinging the rating. The modifier depends only on the opponent's race, so players who switch races get one modifier per opponent race. Matchup ratings are updated daily.
The model was designed by Back2Warcraft. Hover a modifier to see how many maps it is based on.