Nightelf player from Non-representing.
Against | Matches won | Match win rate | Maps won | Map win rate | Matchup rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All races | 438 of 665 | 66% | 819 of 1374 | 60% | 2154 |
| Human | 115 of 179 | 64% | 218 of 376 | 58% | 2173 +19 |
| Night Elf | 117 of 177 | 66% | 197 of 327 | 60% | 2124 -30 |
| Orc | 64 of 91 | 70% | 123 of 197 | 62% | 2157 +3 |
| Undead | 129 of 201 | 64% | 257 of 439 | 59% | 2148 -5 |
| Random | 8 of 12 | 67% | 18 of 29 | 62% | - |
The matchup rating is the player's Elo adjusted for how they do against each race. For every opponent race, we compare the player's map results against what their overall Elo and their opponents' Elo would predict, and turn the difference into a modifier. Modifiers are relative: they average out to zero across a player's maps, so they show which races a player does better or worse against, not how strong they are overall. Only part of that modifier is applied, scaled by a weight that is fitted so the ratings predict recent results as well as possible, which keeps small samples from swinging the rating. The modifier depends only on the opponent's race, so players who switch races get one modifier per opponent race. Matchup ratings are updated daily.
The model was designed by Back2Warcraft. Hover a modifier to see how many maps it is based on.